Marcus Ghebrehiwet - Praevisio Institute
Founder

Marcus Ghebrehiwet

Praevisio Institute for Geopolitical Affairs

About

Marcus Ghebrehiwet is the Founder of the Praevisio Institute for Geopolitical Affairs (P.I.G.A.), where he leads research initiatives and strategic analysis projects focused on emerging geopolitical risks and long-term strategic forecasting.

Before founding P.I.G.A., he worked as a Data and Cloud Engineer for several multinational corporations, where he specialized in building and optimizing scalable data infrastructures, implementing cloud solutions, and developing data-driven decision support systems for complex operational environments.

Education & Academic Background

Master's Degree
International Relations: Geopolitics & Global Political Economy
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam
Bachelor's Degree
History and International Studies
Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam

Marcus's academic background has provided him with robust analytical skills rooted in historiography and political theory, which he uniquely combines with technical expertise from information technology. This interdisciplinary approach enables him to analyze geopolitical developments through both historical continuity and contemporary data-driven frameworks.

Areas of Expertise

Eastern European Geopolitics
Strategic analysis of long-term risks, power shifts, and regional stability dynamics in Eastern Europe
Middle Eastern Affairs
Deep analysis of regional power structures, conflict dynamics, and strategic realignments
Strategic Foresight
Anticipating emerging challenges through historical insight and data-driven methods
Data Infrastructure
Building and optimizing data systems for geopolitical analysis and forecasting

Analytical Approach

Historical Continuity Meets Data-Driven Insight

At the Praevisio Institute, Marcus focuses primarily on Eastern European and Middle Eastern geopolitics, with particular attention to the long-term risks and strategic shifts shaping these regions. His unique analytical approach lies in connecting historical patterns with present-day developments, treating geopolitical events not as isolated incidents but as part of continuously evolving narratives.

By integrating historical insight with data-driven methods, Marcus helps partners better anticipate emerging challenges and develop deeper strategic foresight. This methodology enables the identification of underlying patterns that often escape purely contemporary analysis, providing a more comprehensive understanding of geopolitical dynamics.

His work emphasizes the importance of viewing geopolitical developments through multiple temporal lenses—understanding how historical legacies influence current events while simultaneously analyzing how present actions create future strategic realities. This temporal triangulation approach allows for more accurate forecasting and more nuanced strategic recommendations.

Publications & Research

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