Geopolitical & Economic Analysis | Forecasting | Conflict Theory
Julius Kivel is a Senior Fellow at the Praevisio Institute for Geopolitical Affairs, specializing in geopolitical and economic analysis, forecasting, and conflict theory, with a strong focus on global political dynamics. With extensive international experience across Europe, Africa, and Asia, he brings a unique cross-regional perspective to strategic analysis.
A German national with robust academic training in International Relations, Julius integrates theoretical frameworks with practical policy analysis, providing nuanced insights into complex geopolitical challenges and economic interdependencies in an increasingly multipolar world.
During his Master's studies at Andrássy University Budapest, Julius co-authored an academic publication on Russia's economic foreign policy in Serbia as part of broader strategies of authoritarian influence. This research examined the mechanisms of economic penetration and their implications for regional stability and democratic resilience in the Western Balkans.
Conducts economic and political analyses providing forecasting and assessments on China's economic relations with Germany and the European Union.
Authored and published an economic policy analysis on Kenya's 2025 national budget, examining fiscal policies and development priorities.
Gained professional experience with the German Embassy in Seoul, the Hanns Seidel Foundation, and the OSCE Mission in Kosovo, developing expertise in diplomatic operations and international security.
With professional experience spanning Europe (Germany, Hungary, Kosovo), Africa (Kenya), and Asia (South Korea, Hong Kong, China), Julius possesses unique comparative insights into different political systems, economic models, and security challenges across continents.
His current focus on China-EU economic relations builds on this diverse background, allowing for nuanced analysis that considers both European institutional perspectives and Asian developmental approaches within the broader context of global strategic competition.
Julius's analytical methodology integrates rigorous academic training in International Relations theory with practical policy experience, creating research outputs that are both theoretically grounded and immediately relevant to decision-makers. This approach emphasizes the interconnectedness of economic and security dimensions in contemporary geopolitics.