Instagram Twitter Linkedin
Julius Kivel | Praevisio Institute
Julius Kivel

Senior Fellow · Praevisio Institute

JuliusKivel

Geopolitical & Economic Analysis · Forecasting · Conflict Theory

Specialising in geopolitical and economic analysis, strategic forecasting, and conflict theory, with a cross-regional perspective spanning Europe, Africa, and Asia.

About

Senior Fellow,
Praevisio Institute

Julius Kivel is a Senior Fellow at the Praevisio Institute for Geopolitical Affairs, specialising in geopolitical and economic analysis, forecasting, and conflict theory, with a strong focus on global political dynamics.

A German national with robust academic training in International Relations, Julius integrates theoretical frameworks with practical policy analysis, providing nuanced insights into complex geopolitical challenges and economic interdependencies in an increasingly multipolar world.

With extensive international experience across Europe, Africa, and Asia, he brings a unique cross-regional perspective to strategic analysis — including current work on China–EU economic relations from a consulting role in Hong Kong.

Experience

Economic & Political Analyst
Consulting Agency — Hong Kong (Current)
Economic Policy Analyst
Konrad Adenauer Foundation — Nairobi
Political Institutions
German Embassy Seoul · Hanns Seidel Foundation · OSCE Kosovo

Education

MA
International Relations
Andrássy University Budapest, 2023
BA
International Relations (English-taught)
Rhine-Waal University of Applied Sciences, Kleve, 2020

Expertise & Research

Areas of focus — and the academic work behind them

Economic Forecasting
Analysis of economic trends, fiscal and budget policies, and trade dynamics with a particular focus on EU–China–Germany relations and comparative developmental models.
Geopolitical Analysis
Strategic assessment of global power dynamics, regional conflicts, and international relations in an increasingly multipolar world — from the Western Balkans to the Indo-Pacific.
Conflict Theory
Application of theoretical frameworks to analyse conflict dynamics, authoritarian influence strategies, and the intersection of economic penetration with regional stability.
Diplomatic Analysis
Insights into diplomatic operations, international negotiations, and multilateral institutions, drawn from direct experience with the German Embassy, Hanns Seidel Foundation, and OSCE.
Academic Publication — Co-authored
“Russia’s Economic Foreign Policy in Serbia”
Examined mechanisms of economic penetration as part of broader authoritarian influence strategies, analysing implications for regional stability and democratic resilience in the Western Balkans.
Policy Analysis — Konrad Adenauer Foundation
Kenya’s 2025 National Budget: Fiscal Policy & Development Priorities
Authored and published an economic policy analysis for the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Nairobi, examining Kenya’s fiscal trajectory and structural development challenges.
Analytical Approach — Theory Grounded in Cross-Regional Practice

Julius’s methodology integrates rigorous academic training in International Relations theory with hands-on policy experience across three continents. Professional postings with institutions including the German Embassy in Seoul, the OSCE Mission in Kosovo, and the Konrad Adenauer Foundation in Nairobi have provided direct exposure to diplomatic operations, post-conflict governance, and African development economics. His current focus on China–EU economic relations builds on this diverse foundation, enabling analysis that considers both European institutional perspectives and Asian developmental approaches within the broader context of global strategic competition.

Publications & Research

Publications & written analysis

Loading publications…

Get in touch

Research collaboration & speaking engagements

For research collaboration, analytical consulting, or speaking engagements on geopolitical and economic analysis, reach out directly.

Email Julius Praevisio Institute